Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 12 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 4 km from here.
This alert expired on 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 6th strongest of the 8 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 August 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 2:06PM MST until September 13 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
Nearby, since 12 August 2026
- August 12, 2026 · score 39 · 15.5 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100, at 61 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 61% |
| Coordinates | 35.1191, -112.4230 |
| Nearest City | Prescott Valley (57 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-13T21:06:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.b9cbf3df7dc768c5647313c0323305c95564c3ee.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Coconino, AZ; Yavapai, AZ |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 13 at 2:06PM MST until September 13 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| Expires | 2026-09-13T17:00:00-07:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Flagstaff AZ |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 3 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b9cbf3df7dc768c5647313c0323305c95564c3ee.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef08b637b9d5e5dedd898b68469cb9f97ad39065.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2a0986dd3b647d901c0addae1a2beb8fe1363ea3.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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